Politics12 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$1.6K
124 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 43 traders
OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $23.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs7 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $37 is directional: YES $36·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$36
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+40.4%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$171
Avg Win Rate
83.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$94(+54.8%)
Whales
7
G
glm4.1.fund🥇
Entry 53¢·139 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $73 · WR 85.9%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $50 · WR 79.7%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 78¢·27.8 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $22 · WR 79.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·21 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 87.6%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 50¢·18.4 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $9 · WR 85.3%
S
Shiny-Pension-Omission
Entry 50¢·10.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 79.9%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 88¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.8%
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