Politics12 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 50%-55%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$1.2K
100 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 40 traders
OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $23.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $22 is directional: YES $22·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$22
Avg Win Rate
74.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$17(-79.6%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$211
Avg Win Rate
81.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$173(+81.9%)
Whales
9
G
glm4.1.fund🥇
Entry 53¢·149 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $78 · WR 85.9%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $50 · WR 79.7%
H
Handmade-Kielbasa🥉
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $18 · WR 70.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·35.3 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $18 · WR 79.6%
A
Admirable-Hobby
Entry 89¢·18.4 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $16 · WR 82.8%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·21 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $11 · WR 87.6%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise
Entry 91¢·10.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 79.3%
A
Aggressive-Compensation-Morsel
Entry 50¢·10.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 79.0%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 83.2%
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