Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$3.3K
164 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 59 traders · 1 on both sides
MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $22.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs13 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$10+12 new NO$564
$5 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $203 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $8·NO $193YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
72.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-76.9%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$442
Avg Win Rate
75.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$96(+21.6%)
Whales
13
J
JonnyA◆Proven🥇
Entry 85¢·220 shares
Invested
$187
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $187 · WR 64.7%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 65¢·126.7 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $83 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 89¢·60 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $53 · WR 89.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $30 · WR 85.9%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 99¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 84.3%
C
Chubby-Sideburns-Appetizer
Entry 63¢·18 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
80.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $11 · WR 80.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 86.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 85.9%
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