Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$3.2K
170 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 57 traders
MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $21.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$115+16 new NO$394
$74 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $205 is directional: YES $8·NO $197YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
74.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+18.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$424
Avg Win Rate
74.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$54(+12.8%)
Whales
11
J
JonnyA◆Proven🥇
Entry 82¢·240 shares
Invested
$197
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $197 · WR 64.7%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 64¢·136 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $88 · WR 79.6%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 83¢·40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $33 · WR 86.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 77¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $23 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 74¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $22 · WR 86.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 78¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $16 · WR 85.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 66.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 88.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 77¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 84.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 77¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 87.7%
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