Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.1K
91 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 43 traders · 1 on both sides
MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $21.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs12 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 60% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%
+10 new YES$8+9 new NO$238
0 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 39% of the money is not a bet
$6 of $16 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $6·NO $4YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
73.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$7(-81.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$255
Avg Win Rate
82.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$83(+32.5%)
Whales
12
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 70¢·114 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $79 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 99¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $40 · WR 86.1%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 74¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $30 · WR 85.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 85.9%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 99¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $13 · WR 84.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 87.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 66.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 89.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 86.6%
N
Novel-Driveway-Upgrade
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $9 · WR 81.5%
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