Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$3.9K
212 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 72 traders
MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $21.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs9 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$517+28 new NO$1.6K
$632 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8 is directional: YES $8·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$15
Avg Win Rate
65.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+64.0%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$116
Avg Win Rate
77.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$17(+14.3%)
Whales
9
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 64¢·39.7 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $25 · WR 72.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 67¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $20 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 57¢·30 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $17 · WR 89.0%
R
RandyHickeyhedged
Entry 66¢·20 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $13 · WR 55.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 66.7%
S
Spectacular-Ladder-Ant
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $9 · WR 78.7%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 64¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 84.3%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 66¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 89.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 64¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 87.7%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1736ms