Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 0%-3%?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$1.7K
91 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 34 traders
MI-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $8.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs3 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 80% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$60+5 new NO$175
$56 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8 is directional: YES $6·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$4(+61.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$24
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$14(+56.4%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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