Clarabelletorphy18 · Polymarket wallet 0xd538…4687

Wallet snapshot

Clarabelletorphy18 has made 94 trades on Polymarket across 26 markets, $707 in volume. Most of it is in politics (50%) and sports (23%). On 16 resolved markets the win rate is 56.3%, lifetime P&L -$20. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 0%-3%?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 0%-3%?No · $2 · 77¢ → 80¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes · -$7 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?No · +$7 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 20%-25%?Yes · -$4 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Yes · -$1 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?No · -$1 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election by 20%-25%?Yes · +$3 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election by 20%-25%?No · -$5 · Sep 28, 2026
• Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Yes · -$8 · Sep 25, 2026
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 0%-3%?Yes · +$6 · Sep 24, 2026
• Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?Yes · -$1 · Sep 21, 2026

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