Politics22 days left

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 20%-25%?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

21¢

21% implied

NO Price

79¢

79% implied

Volume

$3.6K

231 trades

Smart Whales

of 74 traders

VA-10 House Election Margin of Victory

8 MARKETS · $13.3K MATCHED

Smart Money

by 30% or more

18¢−10¢$1.3K1/12

by 30% or more−10¢18¢

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election

1¢−1¢$2840/9

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election−1¢1¢

$2840/9

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs16 NO

94%

94% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges

+2 new YES$7+3 new NO$36

$15 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $8 is directional: YES $8·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

75.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$7(+85.8%)

Whales

NO Team

Total Invested

$156

Avg Win Rate

78.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$82(+52.5%)

Whales

+$1INV $23 · WR 60.1%

+$3INV $20 · WR 87.7%

+$4INV $20 · WR 89.0%

+$9INV $16 · WR 83.3%

+$3INV $13 · WR 65.2%

Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise

Entry 50¢·25.2 shares

+$7INV $13 · WR 79.2%

+$19INV $8 · WR 90.4%

Pertinent-Nudge-Rancher

Entry 50¢·14.7 shares

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