Politics22 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$1.1K
65 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 30 traders
MI-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $8.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs4 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+1 new YES$4+3 new NO$44
$8 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $14 is directional: YES $0·NO $14YES Team
Total Invested
$16
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-79.4%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$44
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$21(+47.0%)
Whales
4
C
cloverpmq2🥇
Entry 82¢·17.4 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 60.1%
N
Novel-Driveway-Upgrade🥈
Entry 50¢·24 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $12 · WR 81.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 66.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $8 · WR 79.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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