Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-04 House election by 0%-3%?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$1.7K
93 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 34 traders
MI-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $8.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs3 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 71% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$25+3 new NO$49
$16 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6 is directional: YES $4·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-5.6%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$24
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$14(+57.4%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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