Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$3.0K
171 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 58 traders
IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $12.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs8 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$55+6 new NO$233
$81 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5 is directional: YES $0·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$25
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$18(-71.9%)
Whales
4
C
cloverpmq2🥇hedged
Entry 94¢·9.6 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $9 · WR 60.1%
E
Eli.copter🥈
Entry 79¢·9.6 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $8 · WR 67.8%
G
garbagecollect4🥉
Entry 72¢·9.6 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $7 · WR 68.9%
J
just-bettor
Entry 23¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 62.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$158
Avg Win Rate
82.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$91(+57.3%)
Whales
8
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 50¢·200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $100 · WR 85.9%
G
Giant-Upper-Seat🥈
Entry 50¢·32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $16 · WR 80.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥉
Entry 50¢·30.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $15 · WR 66.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 89.3%
W
Worthless-Beak
Entry 67¢·12 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 81.4%
H
hamid1919
Entry 77¢·6.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 75.9%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 22¢·9.6 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $2 · WR 60.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 65¢·3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 89.0%
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