Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 30% or more?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$881
44 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 24 traders
IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $12.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs9 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $56 is directional: YES $6·NO $50YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+158.4%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$243
Avg Win Rate
78.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$115(+47.6%)
Whales
9
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 50¢·200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $100 · WR 85.9%
M
mariacryptoss🥈
Entry 79¢·63 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $50 · WR 61.8%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥉
Entry 93¢·32.8 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $30 · WR 79.2%
C
Chubby-Sideburns-Appetizer
Entry 50¢·32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $16 · WR 81.5%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $15 · WR 66.8%
C
Clean-Chick-Cupcake
Entry 50¢·24 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $12 · WR 82.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 86.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 91¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 85.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 2¢·6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $0 · WR 89.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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