Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
22ยข
22% implied
NO Price
78ยข
78% implied
Volume
$3.0K
171 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 58 traders
IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS ยท $12.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs8 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars ยท 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%ยท net of hedges
+4 new YES$21+2 new NO$152
$11 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer โ left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $5 is directional: YES $0ยทNO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$25
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$17(-69.8%)
Whales
4
C
cloverpmq2๐ฅhedged
Entry 94ยขยท9.6 sharesยทalso $2 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $9 ยท WR 60.1%
E
Eli.copter๐ฅ
Entry 79ยขยท9.6 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $8 ยท WR 67.8%
G
garbagecollect4๐ฅ
Entry 72ยขยท9.6 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $7 ยท WR 68.9%
J
just-bettor
Entry 23ยขยท5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 ยท WR 62.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$158
Avg Win Rate
82.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$86(+54.4%)
Whales
8
Q
qwen4.1.fund๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $100 ยท WR 85.9%
G
Giant-Upper-Seat๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $16 ยท WR 80.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท30.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $15 ยท WR 66.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 ยท WR 89.3%
W
Worthless-Beak
Entry 67ยขยท12 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 ยท WR 81.4%
H
hamid1919
Entry 77ยขยท6.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 ยท WR 75.9%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 22ยขยท9.6 sharesยทalso $9 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $2 ยท WR 60.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 65ยขยท3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 ยท WR 89.0%
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