Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$2.2K
120 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 42 traders
IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $12.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$36+6 new NO$84
$60 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $18 is directional: YES $0·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+16.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$215
Avg Win Rate
81.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$74(+34.3%)
Whales
7
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 59¢·188.6 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $110 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 50¢·65.5 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $33 · WR 79.6%
A
aliiz🥉
Entry 74¢·23 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $17 · WR 65.1%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 50¢·32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $16 · WR 80.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $15 · WR 66.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 64¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $13 · WR 85.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 41¢·26 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $11 · WR 89.0%
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