Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
23ยข
23% implied
NO Price
77ยข
77% implied
Volume
$2.7K
146 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 52 traders
AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS ยท $10.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs3 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars ยท 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%ยท net of hedges
+6 new YES$209+12 new NO$334
$286 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers โ left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $21 is directional: YES $0ยทNO $20YES Team
Total Invested
$15
Avg Win Rate
60.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-60.2%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$62
Avg Win Rate
72.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$8(+12.8%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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