Politics22 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$1.5K
96 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 38 traders
AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $11.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs4 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 20% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$21+3 new NO$225
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $10 is directional: YES $2·NO $8YES Team
Total Invested
$2
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+70.4%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$63
Avg Win Rate
79.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$31(+49.6%)
Whales
4
G
god83743894🥇
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $40 · WR 85.7%
C
cloverpmq2🥈
Entry 84¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 60.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥉
Entry 83¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 66.8%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 53¢·11 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $6 · WR 79.2%
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