Politics22 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5% or more?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$967
95 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 35 traders
AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $11.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs3 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$25+6 new NO$232
$21 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2 is directional: YES $2·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$2
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+20.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$50
Avg Win Rate
84.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$45(+89.0%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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