Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%?
YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$1.5K
80 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 35 traders
AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $11.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs4 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $16 is directional: YES $0·NO $16YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+63.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$99
Avg Win Rate
80.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$25(+25.6%)
Whales
4
G
godblessme2026🥇
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $40 · WR 88.2%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $25 · WR 79.6%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥉
Entry 71¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 79.2%
A
aliiz
Entry 76¢·21 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 65.1%
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