1 days left
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on November 15?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$7.4K
215 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 56 traders · 2 on both sides
Bitcoin price on November 15?
11 MARKETS · $40.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs4 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 24¢
YES 67%NO 33%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 24¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 53%· net of hedges
$2.3K
$2.2K
+20 new YES · 7 smart whales+20 new NO · 4 smart whales
$1.2K bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 2 · 3
YES 2NO 3one dot = one wallet
3 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 2 days ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$69 of $963 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $328·NO $565YES Team
Total Invested
$570
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$337(-59.1%)
Whales
8
T
Tokor◆Proven🥇
Entry 54¢·561.4 shares
Invested
$302
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-198
$-198INV $302 · WR 63.8%
I
Intelligent-Length🥈
Entry 62¢·334.1 shares
Invested
$207
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-127
$-127INV $207 · WR 66.8%
I
Impressive-Steak🥉hedged
Entry 21¢·130.1 shares·also $525 on NO
Invested
$27
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $27 · WR 78.3%
F
flyxiaye
Entry 52¢·25.3 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $13 · WR 56.7%
F
ftrxc64afnhedged
Entry 17¢·46.2 shares·also $58 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 70.5%
H
Hashrider
Entry 55¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 66.3%
A
averagerandomman◆Proven
Entry 9¢·46 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $4 · WR 74.9%
F
frenchflair11
Entry 54¢·5.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 57.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$600
Avg Win Rate
77.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$497(+82.8%)
Whales
4
I
Impressive-Steak🥇hedged
Entry 42¢·1,237.8 shares·also $27 on YES
Invested
$525
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
+$483
+$483INV $525 · WR 78.3%
F
ftrxc64afn🥈hedged
Entry 66¢·88 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$58
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $58 · WR 70.5%
Y
YouSayUpISayDown🥉
Entry 81¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 · WR 59.2%
4
4xc3dfa18b3
Entry 56¢·1.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 84.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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