YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$15.1K
148 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 34 traders · 2 on both sides
Bitcoin price on November 15?
11 MARKETS · $38.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs5 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 22¢
YES 50%NO 50%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 22¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
$1.3K
$7.8K
+21 new YES · 5 smart whales+18 new NO · 7 smart whales
$2.4K bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ4 of 5 on NO
YES 1NO 4one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
4 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 3 days ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1.6K of $8.8K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $114·NO $7.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$924
Avg Win Rate
77.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.2K(+130.1%)
Whales
5
I
Impressive-Steak🥇hedged
Entry 30¢·2,424.6 shares·also $7.2K on NO
Invested
$722
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $722 · WR 78.3%
A
averagerandomman◆Proven🥈
Entry 3¢·3,690.5 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$1006
+$1006INV $104 · WR 74.9%
F
ftrxc64afn🥉hedged
Entry 19¢·452.6 shares·also $144 on NO
Invested
$88
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $88 · WR 70.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 2¢·496.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $10 · WR 79.2%
I
Intelligent-Length
Entry 5¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 66.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.9K
Avg Win Rate
77.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.1K(-27.2%)
Whales
5
I
Impressive-Steak🥇hedged
Entry 97¢·7,430.5 shares·also $722 on YES
Invested
$7.2K
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
$-2024
$-2024INV $7.2K · WR 78.3%
T
Tokor◆Proven🥈
Entry 83¢·604.9 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $500 · WR 63.8%
F
ftrxc64afn🥉hedged
Entry 96¢·150.1 shares·also $88 on YES
Invested
$144
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $144 · WR 70.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 92¢·21 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $19 · WR 71.9%
D
Duskborn
Entry 68¢·10.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 67.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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