2 days left
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on November 15?
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$6.9K
190 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 37 traders · 2 on both sides
Bitcoin price on November 15?
11 MARKETS · $38.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs6 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 50¢
YES 25%NO 75%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 50¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 56% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
$1.6K
$3.9K
+7 new YES · 2 smart whales+25 new NO · 6 smart whales
$1.8K bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ5 of 5 on NO
YES 0NO 5one dot = one wallet
0 wallets on YES
5 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 2 days ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 33% of the money is not a bet
$674 of $2.1K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $777·NO $619YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
78.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$965(+86.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$956
Avg Win Rate
71.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$137(-14.4%)
Whales
6
I
Impressive-Steak🥇hedged
Entry 53¢·626.3 shares·also $1.1K on YES
Invested
$332
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $332 · WR 78.3%
I
Intelligent-Length🥈
Entry 69¢·314.7 shares
Invested
$216
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $216 · WR 66.8%
T
Tokor◆Proven🥉
Entry 69¢·256.4 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $178 · WR 63.8%
F
ftrxc64afnhedged
Entry 51¢·328.3 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$169
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $169 · WR 70.5%
A
averagerandomman◆Proven
Entry 75¢·71 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $53 · WR 74.9%
H
Hashrider
Entry 68¢·11.5 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 66.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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