47 days left
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$8.0K
295 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 84 traders
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
4 MARKETS · $15.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote
40¢+15¢$3.2K6/5Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote+15¢40¢
$3.2K6/5
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote←
28¢+15¢$8.0K3/4Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote←+15¢28¢
$8.0K3/4
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote
13¢+12¢$2.4K2/6Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote+12¢13¢
$2.4K2/6
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote
57¢+3¢$1.6K3/2Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote+3¢57¢
$1.6K3/2
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Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs4 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 49% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $480 is directional: YES $237·NO $244YES Team
Total Invested
$237
Avg Win Rate
61.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$127(+53.5%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$244
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+6.1%)
Whales
4
C
Cbs710🥇
Entry 78¢·228.5 shares
Invested
$179
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $179 · WR 75.0%
V
Vengeful-Hobbit🥈
Entry 74¢·41.1 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $30 · WR 58.3%
6
64MGX75VLQ◆Proven🥉
Entry 74¢·40.4 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
90.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $30 · WR 90.7%
B
beatrix99
Entry 88¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 81.8%
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