Resolved229 days left
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$18.5K
436 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 168 traders
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs8 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 100¢
YES 67%NO 33%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 100¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.5K is directional: YES $2.4K·NO $111YES Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
67.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$839(+23.7%)
Whales
16
L
lamyk🥇
Entry 91¢·1,610.6 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $1.5K · WR 58.1%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven🥈
Entry 64¢·1,257.3 shares
Invested
$805
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$452
+$452INV $805 · WR 78.8%
F
fountaim◆Proven🥉
Entry 94¢·421.1 shares
Invested
$395
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $395 · WR 85.5%
C
caffe-paper
Entry 88¢·327.2 shares
Invested
$289
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $289 · WR 58.8%
I
iutwpfal◆Proven
Entry 93¢·271.4 shares
Invested
$251
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $251 · WR 74.2%
K
kakprotrades
Entry 97¢·103.3 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $100 · WR 69.2%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 42¢·197 shares·also $125 on NO
Invested
$82
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$115
+$115INV $82 · WR 60.2%
1
0x11eaaf41...
Entry 97¢·56.8 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $55 · WR 58.8%
R
recallcp
Entry 75¢·43.4 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
94.5%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $33 · WR 94.5%
J
jkerkela
Entry 27¢·86.7 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $23 · WR 63.1%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$275
Avg Win Rate
64.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$244(-88.9%)
Whales
8
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 63¢·197 shares·also $82 on YES
Invested
$125
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $125 · WR 60.2%
E
Experienced-Wasting🥈
Entry 9¢·848.2 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $73 · WR 63.3%
C
Conscious-Belligerency◆Proven🥉
Entry 14¢·186.2 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $27 · WR 71.0%
K
klli27hedged
Entry 153¢·15.8 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$24
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $24 · WR 81.0%
U
Userjfdhferuhhedged
Entry 73¢·20 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 66.7%
R
romanew-1-new
Entry 10¢·64.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $6 · WR 63.7%
R
romanew-crypto
Entry 16¢·32.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 66.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 2¢·50 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 71.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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