Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$962
62 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 40 traders · 1 on both sides
Illinois Senate Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $18.1K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs6 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $21 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
60.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-71.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$135
Avg Win Rate
83.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$31(+22.7%)
Whales
6
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 88¢·70 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $62 · WR 89.0%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $29 · WR 87.5%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 90¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 70.0%
I
i2dthedged
Entry 88¢·20 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$18
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 72.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 90¢·8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 79.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 6¢·21 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $1 · WR 87.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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