Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$2.0K
73 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 47 traders
Illinois Senate Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $18.1K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs7 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3 is directional: YES $3·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
61.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-83.2%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$158
Avg Win Rate
83.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$28(+17.9%)
Whales
7
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $40 · WR 71.9%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 86¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $34 · WR 89.0%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 88.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 87¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $26 · WR 86.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 89¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 88.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 90¢·8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 79.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 13¢·21 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $3 · WR 87.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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