Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$949
43 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 31 traders
Illinois Senate Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $18.1K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs6 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3 is directional: YES $3·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
57.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-72.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$154
Avg Win Rate
83.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$22(+14.4%)
Whales
6
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 99¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $40 · WR 71.9%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 93¢·40 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $37 · WR 89.0%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 87.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 91¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $27 · WR 86.5%
C
C.PM
Entry 96¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $19 · WR 82.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 6¢·21 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $1 · WR 87.6%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 550ms