Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
41¢
41% implied
NO Price
59¢
59% implied
Volume
$2.9K
118 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 71 traders
Illinois Senate Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $18.1K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs5 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $112 is directional: YES $112·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$132
Avg Win Rate
58.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$15(-11.1%)
Whales
5
R
RayGuy🥇
Entry 63¢·90 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $57 · WR 57.9%
T
thanksforplayin🥈
Entry 49¢·90 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $44 · WR 55.9%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥉
Entry 54¢·36.6 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $20 · WR 62.1%
M
mantou11
Entry 16¢·53 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $9 · WR 56.1%
I
i2dt◆Proven
Entry 17¢·14.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $3 · WR 72.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$103
Avg Win Rate
84.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$21(-20.8%)
Whales
5
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 97¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $39 · WR 88.5%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 56¢·40 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $22 · WR 71.9%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 72¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $22 · WR 87.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 71¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $14 · WR 88.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 71¢·8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 79.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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