Resolved49 days left
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$74.8K
1,770 trades
Smart Whales
75
of 610 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
27 YESvs49 NO
36%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$20 of $18.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $17.8K·NO $432YES Team
Total Invested
$18.7K
Avg Win Rate
77.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.9K(+10.1%)
Whales
27
2
0x26b16660...🥇
Entry 100¢·5,063.3 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $5.0K · WR 59.5%
6
0x6fa70d26...◆Proven🥈
Entry 100¢·4,985 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $5.0K · WR 88.8%
6
0x67babdb5...🥉
Entry 100¢·3,629.9 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3.6K · WR 92.9%
L
Lk7600
Entry 88¢·3,879.9 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$475
+$475INV $3.4K · WR 66.7%
F
fillit98◆Proven
Entry 51¢·1,269.3 shares
Invested
$649
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$620
+$620INV $649 · WR 89.3%
A
aszdxfcgvhgkjhlkjawtseyrdfjkmnybtrv
Entry 51¢·980.5 shares
Invested
$499
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$481
+$481INV $499 · WR 78.6%
D
0xd5d87cd3...
Entry 85¢·170 shares
Invested
$145
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $145 · WR 90.0%
A
aliiz
Entry 51¢·100.2 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $51 · WR 65.1%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 21¢·227 shares·also $186 on NO
Invested
$47
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$180
+$180INV $47 · WR 55.3%
C
CryingShark
Entry 98¢·15.9 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 · WR 62.4%
Showing top 10 of 27
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.6K
Avg Win Rate
73.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.0K(-79.7%)
Whales
49
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 8¢·3,743.8 shares
Invested
$302
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-302
$-302INV $302 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 8¢·3,277.9 shares
Invested
$273
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-273
$-273INV $273 · WR 72.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 8¢·3,263.6 shares
Invested
$262
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-262
$-262INV $262 · WR 85.9%
M
Mandalorec
Entry 45¢·500 shares
Invested
$223
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-223
$-223INV $223 · WR 60.0%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 9¢·2,247.1 shares
Invested
$204
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-204
$-204INV $204 · WR 79.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 82¢·227.1 shares·also $47 on YES
Invested
$186
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-186
$-186INV $186 · WR 55.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 22¢·516.9 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-111
$-111INV $111 · WR 88.2%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 75¢·100 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $75 · WR 60.1%
1
101456
Entry 4¢·1,697.5 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $68 · WR 55.9%
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven
Entry 16¢·274.8 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $44 · WR 59.0%
Showing top 10 of 49
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