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Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026

View on Polymarket
YES Price
44¢
44% implied
NO Price
56¢
56% implied
Volume
$796
94 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 47 traders

How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?

9 MARKETS · $2.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs4 NO
64%36%
64% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 60%· net of hedges
+27 new YES$320+27 new NO$461
$44 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $164 is directional: YES $161·NO $3
YES Team
Total Invested
$161
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$31(+19.4%)
Whales
7
S
Started-with-20-USD🥇
Entry 36¢·292 shares
+$34INV $104 · WR 59.0%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 50¢·100 shares
$-3INV $50 · WR 58.0%
3
0x3f36e082...🥉
Entry 52¢·5.9 shares
$-0INV $3 · WR 95.2%
3
0x325d3592...
Entry 53¢·1.9 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.2%
2
0x2dcdfbf0...
Entry 53¢·1.9 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.5%
3
0x39d56547...
Entry 53¢·1.9 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 83.3%
6
0x6d19ba21...
Entry 53¢·1.9 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 78.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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