YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$8.2K
243 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 53 traders
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
15 MARKETS · $76.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs8 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+1 new YES$4+3 new NO$54
$8 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $276 is directional: YES $103·NO $173YES Team
Total Invested
$257
Avg Win Rate
66.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$164(-63.8%)
Whales
4
D
dash.eats🥇hedged
Entry 65¢·200.4 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$129
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
$-113
$-113INV $129 · WR 72.5%
G
grasstoucher69🥈
Entry 13¢·808.1 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $103 · WR 58.5%
P
PippiTrader🥉hedged
Entry 15¢·109.6 shares·also $33 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $17 · WR 62.3%
M
Majashedged
Entry 18¢·44.6 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $8 · WR 67.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$227
Avg Win Rate
74.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$87(+38.5%)
Whales
8
L
LiuJeremy🥇
Entry 85¢·131 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $111 · WR 82.7%
P
PippiTrader🥈hedged
Entry 83¢·40 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$33
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $33 · WR 62.3%
T
Tsubasa🥉
Entry 87¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $26 · WR 60.0%
G
Gummy-Casserole
Entry 90¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 75.8%
M
Majashedged
Entry 230¢·4.6 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $11 · WR 67.4%
D
dash.eatshedged
Entry 10¢·100.4 shares·also $129 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
+$82
+$82INV $10 · WR 72.5%
T
TheForeseer
Entry 93¢·10.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 81.5%
5
0x582506c2...
Entry 89¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 61.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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