YES Price
38¢
38% implied
NO Price
62¢
62% implied
Volume
$4.5K
258 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 62 traders · 2 on both sides
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
15 MARKETS · $73.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs4 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 62%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$372+12 new NO$457
$472 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$61 of $493 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $89·NO $343YES Team
Total Invested
$119
Avg Win Rate
59.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$23(-19.6%)
Whales
3
C
Careless-Carport🥇
Entry 54¢·164.9 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $89 · WR 58.8%
G
grasstoucher69🥈hedged
Entry 38¢·61 shares·also $83 on NO
Invested
$23
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $23 · WR 58.5%
P
PippiTrader🥉hedged
Entry 36¢·20 shares·also $165 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 62.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$378
Avg Win Rate
60.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$41(+10.9%)
Whales
4
P
PippiTrader🥇hedged
Entry 57¢·290 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$165
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $165 · WR 62.3%
P
PrimePenguin◆Proven🥈
Entry 50¢·251 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $125 · WR 59.5%
G
grasstoucher69🥉hedged
Entry 60¢·138.5 shares·also $23 on YES
Invested
$83
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $83 · WR 58.5%
D
dash.eats
Entry 63¢·7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 72.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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