Tsubasa · Polymarket wallet 0xcfde…4006

Wallet snapshot

Tsubasa has made 3,530 trades on Polymarket across 910 markets, $86K in volume. Most of it is in sports (39%) and crypto (22%). On 820 resolved markets the win rate is 60%. It holds 56 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Discord IPO before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Discord IPO before 2027?No · $1,212 · 51¢ → 93¢
• Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?No · $179 · 24¢ → 56¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $157 · 22¢ → 28¢
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · $122 · 93¢ → 97¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?No · $110 · 79¢ → 79¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?No · $94 · 91¢ → 94¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $88 · 60¢ → 63¢
• Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?No · $72 · 85¢ → 80¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?No · $59 · 87¢ → 91¢
• Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?No · $55 · 59¢ → 69¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 6?No · +$3 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Messi score 1+ goals vs. Benin?Yes · +$8 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Messi score 2+ goals vs. Benin?Yes · -$71 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 6?No · -$16 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in September?Yes · -$1 · Oct 7, 2026
• Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?No · +$6 · Oct 7, 2026
• Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?No · +$12 · Oct 6, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.