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Geopolitics6 days left

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
86¢
86% implied
NO Price
14¢
14% implied
Volume
$21.4K
153 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 45 traders

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

17 MARKETS · $204.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs5 NO
58%42%
58% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 83%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$238+9 new NO$65
$37 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $352 is directional: YES $305·NO $47
YES Team
Total Invested
$305
Avg Win Rate
74.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$66(+21.7%)
Whales
7
D
DumbOracle🥇
Entry 67¢·190 shares
+$18INV $127 · WR 73.0%
T
TheOne777Proven🥈
Entry 55¢·100 shares
+$22INV $55 · WR 75.8%
S
SubashChandraBose🥉
Entry 43¢·89.2 shares
+$30INV $38 · WR 80.7%
S
Sizzling-Incandescence
Entry 81¢·39.1 shares
$-2INV $32 · WR 66.1%
P
PashaAsOracul
Entry 93¢·28 shares
$-5INV $26 · WR 66.0%
X
XSLAV
Entry 71¢·29.5 shares
+$2INV $21 · WR 80.0%
P
PowerShift
Entry 61¢·10 shares
+$2INV $6 · WR 95.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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