PowerShift · Polymarket wallet 0x1cb5…b2c4

Wallet snapshot

PowerShift has made 228 trades on Polymarket across 53 markets, $4,952 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (98%). On 43 resolved markets the win rate is 93%, lifetime P&L +$118. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?Yes · $123 · 92¢ → 98¢
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No · $54 · 79¢ → 85¢
• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?Yes · $18 · 83¢ → 91¢
• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?Yes · $9 · 61¢ → 92¢
• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Yes · $9 · 81¢ → 92¢
• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?Yes · $9 · 76¢ → 91¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?No · -$2 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?No · +$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 15, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 14, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 14, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.