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Geopolitics2 days left

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
92¢
92% implied
NO Price
8¢
8% implied
Volume
$24.3K
99 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 63 traders

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

15 MARKETS · $153.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs5 NO
62%39%
62% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 96%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$134+7 new NO$8
$6 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.5K is directional: YES $2.4K·NO $25
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
78.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$861(+35.4%)
Whales
8
S
SubashChandraBose🥇
Entry 66¢·2,992.4 shares
+$793INV $2.0K · WR 80.1%
P
PashaAsOracul🥈
Entry 90¢·247.7 shares
+$7INV $222 · WR 67.3%
D
DumbOracle🥉
Entry 70¢·190 shares
+$43INV $132 · WR 73.3%
R
RobbbProven
Entry 83¢·70.6 shares
+$5INV $59 · WR 81.3%
S
Sizzling-Incandescence
Entry 84¢·27.9 shares
+$2INV $23 · WR 65.6%
P
PowerShift
Entry 83¢·20 shares
+$2INV $17 · WR 93.0%
Z
ZalphaAIhedged
Entry 42¢·15.4 shares·also $5 on NO
+$8INV $6 · WR 63.9%
B
big-bird1
Entry 86¢·1.4 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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