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Geopolitics3 days left

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
91¢
91% implied
NO Price
9¢
9% implied
Volume
$59.5K
262 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 126 traders · 1 on both sides

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

17 MARKETS · $204.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

30 YESvs5 NO
86%14%
86% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 27 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 94%· net of hedges
+36 new YES$2.5K+10 new NO$163
$18 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
14 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$8 of $22.3K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $21.1K·NO $1.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$21.6K
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.0K(+32.4%)
Whales
30
A
aenews2Proven🥇
Entry 73¢·14,221.6 shares
+$2525INV $10.4K · WR 74.6%
W
whigProven🥈
Entry 69¢·7,351.7 shares
+$1590INV $5.1K · WR 63.2%
P
pilipro3🥉
Entry 66¢·4,275.3 shares
+$1078INV $2.8K · WR 71.2%
S
Seluj
Entry 85¢·1,291.6 shares
+$75INV $1.1K · WR 57.8%
L
Lolakis
Entry 26¢·2,000 shares
+$1300INV $520 · WR 61.9%
P
PashaAsOracul
Entry 86¢·406.2 shares
+$20INV $350 · WR 66.0%
S
SubashChandraBose
Entry 74¢·409.6 shares
+$68INV $304 · WR 80.7%
D
Dafri220286
Entry 86¢·342.9 shares
+$17INV $295 · WR 90.5%
R
RobbbProven
Entry 85¢·203.8 shares
+$11INV $174 · WR 81.3%
D
DumbOracle
Entry 75¢·190 shares
+$30INV $143 · WR 73.0%
Showing top 10 of 30

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 86% YES: Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026