Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$32.5K
252 trades
Smart Whales
27
of 100 traders
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
3 MARKETS · $49.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026
1¢+29¢$6.2K10/23Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026+29¢1¢
$6.2K10/23
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Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs20 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
58.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.7K(-100.0%)
Whales
7
C
Common-Contagion🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·1,028 shares·also $18 on NO
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-1016
$-1016INV $1.0K · WR 58.2%
K
kanshifu🥈hedged
Entry 128¢·393.7 shares·also $116 on NO
Invested
$505
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-505
$-505INV $505 · WR 58.3%
I
ImJustKen🥉hedged
Entry 15659¢·1 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$157
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-157
$-157INV $157 · WR 61.2%
V
Vykdomhedged
Entry 1¢·782.7 shares·also $781 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 60.2%
H
huyewell
Entry 0¢·3,666 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 56.5%
C
Crypto-Well
Entry 0¢·3,333 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 56.5%
5
5toparfra1clhedged
Entry 4¢·14.5 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$10.4K
Avg Win Rate
88.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.2K(+50.4%)
Whales
20
0
0x0a543bb9...🥇
Entry 100¢·8,310.5 shares
Invested
$8.3K
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $8.3K · WR 91.4%
S
scout🥈
Entry 100¢·790.2 shares
Invested
$788
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $788 · WR 92.0%
V
Vykdom🥉hedged
Entry 99¢·791.1 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$781
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $781 · WR 60.2%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 38¢·811.6 shares
Invested
$310
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$502
+$502INV $310 · WR 85.8%
K
kanshifuhedged
Entry 7¢·1,593.7 shares·also $505 on YES
Invested
$116
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$1477
+$1477INV $116 · WR 58.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 86.0%
C
Common-Contagionhedged
Entry 2¢·1,028 shares·also $1.0K on YES
Invested
$18
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
+$1010
+$1010INV $18 · WR 58.2%
5
5toparfra1clhedged
Entry 101¢·14.5 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 59.6%
P
paspor
Entry 46¢·27.7 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $13 · WR 85.8%
I
ImJustKenhedged
Entry 1¢·1,993 shares·also $157 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$1980
+$1980INV $13 · WR 61.2%
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