Geopolitics413 days left

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2027?

YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$12.9K
452 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 102 traders

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs6 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 28¢
YES 50%NO 50%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 28¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 23% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges
+5 new YES · 2 smart whales+6 new NO · 1 smart whale
$12 bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ4 of 5 on YES
YES 4NO 1one dot = one wallet

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 2h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $947 is directional: YES $217·NO $730

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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