Resolved80 days left
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$526.2K
8,262 trades
Smart Whales
140
of 785 traders · 1 on both sides
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
2 MARKETS · $1.34M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
43 YESvs98 NO
31%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 50% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$0 of $327 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $162·NO $165YES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
61.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$878(-68.3%)
Whales
43
M
mombil🥇hedged
Entry 94¢·692.7 shares·also $276 on NO
Invested
$650
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-644
$-644INV $650 · WR 60.4%
I
ImJustKen🥈
Entry 6¢·1,598.8 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $100 · WR 61.2%
O
occasionalAwareness◆Proven🥉
Entry 5¢·807.8 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $40 · WR 63.1%
J
Jesetrading
Entry 14¢·226.6 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $32 · WR 67.3%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven
Entry 4¢·663.2 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $29 · WR 56.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 14¢·96.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 66.8%
Q
quantr
Entry 16¢·67.4 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $11 · WR 63.6%
H
haruk098
Entry 6¢·100 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 76.0%
T
thisisalpha
Entry 6¢·100 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $6 · WR 57.1%
T
Tee1000
Entry 14¢·40 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 81.8%
Showing top 10 of 43
NO Team
Total Invested
$14.8K
Avg Win Rate
82.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$12.4K(+83.8%)
Whales
98
R
rated🥇
Entry 56¢·2,895 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1259
+$1259INV $1.6K · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 58¢·2,448.4 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1017
+$1017INV $1.4K · WR 79.6%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 46¢·2,348 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1250
+$1250INV $1.1K · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 34¢·2,344.2 shares
Invested
$797
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1525
+$1525INV $797 · WR 72.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 92¢·840 shares
Invested
$777
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $777 · WR 86.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 92¢·657 shares
Invested
$608
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $608 · WR 88.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 91¢·661.5 shares
Invested
$602
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $602 · WR 69.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 92¢·611 shares
Invested
$562
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $562 · WR 89.0%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 57¢·943.9 shares
Invested
$540
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$395
+$395INV $540 · WR 83.8%
C
Cookedtan◆Proven
Entry 22¢·2,418.8 shares
Invested
$536
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$1859
+$1859INV $536 · WR 85.1%
Showing top 10 of 98
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