Tech/AI80 days left
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$84.8K
2,059 trades
Smart Whales
86
of 576 traders
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
2 MARKETS · $258.3K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
40 YESvs46 NO
47%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 22 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%
+1 new YES$103+1 new NO$471
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.7K is directional: YES $428·NO $5.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$849
Avg Win Rate
63.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$115(-13.6%)
Whales
40
C
Car🥇
Entry 16¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $156 · WR 64.9%
I
IbnKhaldun🥈
Entry 34¢·314 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $108 · WR 57.1%
A
acuellarF🥉
Entry 53¢·100 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $53 · WR 65.5%
I
IrthBirthhedged
Entry 37¢·92.5 shares·also $51 on NO
Invested
$34
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $34 · WR 57.3%
M
Mahnic
Entry 38¢·89.7 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $34 · WR 60.5%
N
Newshoundhedged
Entry 28¢·109.2 shares·also $92 on NO
Invested
$31
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $31 · WR 57.1%
J
Jnm1234
Entry 30¢·85.9 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $26 · WR 67.9%
A
ag129
Entry 25¢·81.6 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $21 · WR 55.8%
P
Puzzled-Footballhedged
Entry 18¢·102.8 shares·also $31 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $19 · WR 82.0%
M
mmmbop◆Proven
Entry 55¢·32 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $18 · WR 69.1%
Showing top 10 of 40
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.5K
Avg Win Rate
69.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$662(+10.2%)
Whales
46
S
Sylvester.the.Cat🥇
Entry 89¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
$-185
$-185INV $1.8K · WR 71.0%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥈
Entry 71¢·2,316.8 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$202
+$202INV $1.7K · WR 63.4%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven🥉
Entry 81¢·766 shares
Invested
$618
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $618 · WR 90.9%
P
PavtheGreat
Entry 75¢·510 shares
Invested
$383
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $383 · WR 62.6%
M
MrMelonHead
Entry 71¢·484.1 shares
Invested
$344
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $344 · WR 65.3%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 59¢·400.7 shares
Invested
$237
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $237 · WR 60.4%
B
badkidsart
Entry 48¢·307.9 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $148 · WR 61.7%
C
Compassionate-Kneejerk
Entry 69¢·207.6 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $142 · WR 90.5%
A
AlexWHLUX
Entry 73¢·138.9 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $101 · WR 65.4%
N
Newshoundhedged
Entry 84¢·109.2 shares·also $31 on YES
Invested
$92
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $92 · WR 57.1%
Showing top 10 of 46
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