Tech/AI28 days left
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$170.1K
2,364 trades
Smart Whales
58
of 487 traders
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
2 MARKETS · $249.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
19 YESvs39 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 27 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+1 new YES$7+4 new NO$875
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $12.8K is directional: YES $128·NO $12.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$801
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$484(-60.5%)
Whales
19
R
real-hero-himmel🥇
Entry 95¢·233.3 shares
Invested
$223
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
$-207
$-207INV $223 · WR 77.9%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate🥈hedged
Entry 36¢·618.1 shares·also $643 on NO
Invested
$221
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-181
$-181INV $221 · WR 56.1%
P
Puzzled-Football🥉hedged
Entry 32¢·233.3 shares·also $115 on NO
Invested
$74
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $74 · WR 80.7%
H
HibernatingParasite
Entry 8¢·817 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $67 · WR 55.2%
G
gangOgang
Entry 10¢·500 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $52 · WR 68.4%
H
hotcatcat
Entry 6¢·380 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $25 · WR 60.0%
R
rpontici
Entry 21¢·21.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 88.9%
T
tinman2
Entry 6¢·50 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 65.8%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 21¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
78.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 78.5%
Showing top 9 of 19
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.5K
Avg Win Rate
78.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$832(+6.2%)
Whales
39
N
nonkenny90◆Proven🥇
Entry 84¢·5,145.6 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$468
+$468INV $4.3K · WR 90.8%
Q
QMG-CORE🥈
Entry 93¢·3,005.6 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2.8K · WR 81.2%
J
Jjw🥉
Entry 91¢·1,651.1 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $1.5K · WR 79.1%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 82¢·1,240.2 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$139
+$139INV $1.0K · WR 71.7%
R
Rumpelstiltskin
Entry 80¢·1,012.5 shares
Invested
$812
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$134
+$134INV $812 · WR 57.1%
E
EsperanzasDESTROYER
Entry 94¢·779.3 shares
Invested
$733
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $733 · WR 68.9%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdatehedged
Entry 104¢·618.1 shares·also $221 on YES
Invested
$643
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-66
$-66INV $643 · WR 56.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 91¢·502.8 shares
Invested
$457
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $457 · WR 57.8%
A
Anjun◆Proven
Entry 93¢·333 shares
Invested
$310
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $310 · WR 58.8%
I
InterestingUser◆Proven
Entry 90¢·282.2 shares
Invested
$254
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $254 · WR 63.5%
Showing top 10 of 39
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