Politics13 days left
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$27.8K
448 trades
Smart Whales
35
of 75 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $520.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs23 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+9 new YES$38+10 new NO$3.1K
3 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.5K is directional: YES $2.5K·NO $6YES Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
73.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.4K(-97.0%)
Whales
12
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 9¢·22,134.3 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-1987
$-1987INV $2.0K · WR 72.2%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 11¢·1,442.7 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-157
$-157INV $160 · WR 87.7%
P
Pure-Eyeliner🥉
Entry 11¢·711.4 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $79 · WR 56.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 11¢·549.4 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $61 · WR 79.6%
N
neverhackme
Entry 11¢·523.6 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $58 · WR 75.8%
L
lpgb
Entry 11¢·390.7 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $43 · WR 75.7%
Y
YouSayUpISayDown
Entry 11¢·109 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 59.7%
A
Affectionate-Monger
Entry 10¢·96 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 79.1%
F
Flipadelphia
Entry 0¢·3,595.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $4 · WR 56.8%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 7¢·50.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 88.1%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.4K(+214.0%)
Whales
23
G
gmgmgmgmg🥇
Entry 50¢·1,571 shares
Invested
$785
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$782
+$782INV $785 · WR 79.2%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 23¢·2,408.7 shares
Invested
$553
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1851
+$1851INV $553 · WR 85.8%
Q
QMG-CORE🥉
Entry 50¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$498
+$498INV $500 · WR 81.2%
V
vamosgaming
Entry 50¢·250 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$125
+$125INV $125 · WR 83.9%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 35¢·323.6 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$210
+$210INV $113 · WR 88.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 8¢·812.7 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$743
+$743INV $69 · WR 85.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·120 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $60 · WR 79.6%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 50¢·90.7 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $45 · WR 59.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·90 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $45 · WR 89.3%
J
jsdfsdfbdfbfg
Entry 100¢·6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
—
—INV $6 · WR 91.4%
Showing top 10 of 23
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