YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$100.9K
1,265 trades
Smart Whales
115
of 501 traders
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
9 MARKETS · $340.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
82 YESvs33 NO
71%29%
71% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 70 YES vs 20 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$130+6 new NO$490
$48 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.6K is directional: YES $1.9K·NO $4.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
70.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.7K(-47.7%)
Whales
82
S
sunburntcat🥇hedged
Entry 73¢·1,007.7 shares·also $134 on NO
Invested
$733
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-542
$-542INV $733 · WR 56.0%
X
xiao1🥈hedged
Entry 78¢·854.6 shares·also $108 on NO
Invested
$664
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-502
$-502INV $664 · WR 61.1%
C
CauchyBraids🥉
Entry 37¢·1,559.1 shares
Invested
$582
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
$-277
$-277INV $582 · WR 83.0%
F
flaneur22
Entry 37¢·1,498.3 shares
Invested
$551
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-258
$-258INV $551 · WR 84.1%
K
keysersoze22
Entry 25¢·1,939.8 shares
Invested
$483
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-103
$-103INV $483 · WR 78.6%
O
OranG3cluB
Entry 13¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $130 · WR 64.5%
O
okakokakhedged
Entry 14¢·176.3 shares·also $134 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $25 · WR 57.1%
A
apiwathedged
Entry 9¢·190 shares·also $149 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
93.4%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $18 · WR 93.4%
N
nudye7
Entry 48¢·21.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $10 · WR 66.7%
X
xiaozhutou
Entry 26¢·30.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 70.0%
Showing top 10 of 82
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.0K
Avg Win Rate
69.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.0K(+33.2%)
Whales
33
G
gydmasg🥇
Entry 81¢·2,568.4 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2.1K · WR 67.8%
F
flipperino🥈
Entry 76¢·897.8 shares
Invested
$686
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $686 · WR 63.4%
C
ChasingPaper🥉
Entry 80¢·522.6 shares
Invested
$420
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $420 · WR 65.6%
A
amis
Entry 94¢·382.3 shares
Invested
$360
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $360 · WR 87.5%
V
vinii
Entry 69¢·519.1 shares
Invested
$360
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $360 · WR 65.8%
B
BetterHold
Entry 54¢·489.4 shares
Invested
$265
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$131
+$131INV $265 · WR 68.9%
A
alanhutton
Entry 62¢·372.5 shares
Invested
$233
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $233 · WR 72.4%
A
AstariaCapital
Entry 92¢·240 shares
Invested
$221
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $221 · WR 73.7%
K
KrauzeN
Entry 89¢·188.2 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $168 · WR 60.1%
A
apiwathedged
Entry 78¢·190 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$149
Win Rate
93.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $149 · WR 93.4%
Showing top 10 of 33
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 611ms