YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$80.7K
1,653 trades
Smart Whales
139
of 524 traders
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
9 MARKETS · $340.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
103 YESvs36 NO
74%26%
74% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 83 YES vs 20 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%
+2 new YES$9+2 new NO$39
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $12.3K is directional: YES $7.9K·NO $4.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$10.4K
Avg Win Rate
78.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.9K(-37.9%)
Whales
103
C
CauchyBraids🥇
Entry 75¢·8,547.7 shares
Invested
$6.4K
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
$-3248
$-3248INV $6.4K · WR 83.0%
K
keysersoze22🥈
Entry 43¢·1,963.5 shares
Invested
$842
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-126
$-126INV $842 · WR 78.6%
F
flipperino🥉hedged
Entry 73¢·813.8 shares·also $53 on NO
Invested
$593
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-312
$-312INV $593 · WR 63.4%
X
xiao1hedged
Entry 64¢·749.5 shares·also $62 on NO
Invested
$480
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-221
$-221INV $480 · WR 61.1%
C
ChasingPaper
Entry 60¢·611.7 shares
Invested
$366
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-155
$-155INV $366 · WR 65.6%
E
Eugene22
Entry 20¢·1,279.9 shares
Invested
$256
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
+$211
+$211INV $256 · WR 78.3%
T
Tukuhedged
Entry 114¢·120 shares·also $36 on NO
Invested
$137
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
$-96
$-96INV $137 · WR 77.4%
K
kuash
Entry 64¢·192.3 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $123 · WR 63.0%
F
flaneur22
Entry 33¢·275.6 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $92 · WR 84.1%
F
foxi00
Entry 17¢·455.1 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $78 · WR 61.1%
Showing top 10 of 103
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.0K
Avg Win Rate
65.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.8K(+77.4%)
Whales
36
M
mommydualipa🥇
Entry 25¢·4,000 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$1620
+$1620INV $1.0K · WR 56.2%
G
gothmommy69🥈
Entry 25¢·4,000 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$1620
+$1620INV $1.0K · WR 61.9%
J
Jaygo🥉
Entry 88¢·966.5 shares
Invested
$851
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
$-237
$-237INV $851 · WR 76.2%
G
gydmasg
Entry 59¢·709.2 shares
Invested
$418
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $418 · WR 67.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 74¢·266.8 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $199 · WR 68.2%
B
BuyerOfNo
Entry 36¢·528.4 shares
Invested
$188
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
+$158
+$158INV $188 · WR 64.2%
A
alanhutton
Entry 59¢·180 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $106 · WR 72.4%
D
Defiant-Marathon
Entry 52¢·200 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $104 · WR 55.3%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 67¢·141.7 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $95 · WR 74.2%
B
Bare-Streetcar-Strength
Entry 76¢·123.4 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $94 · WR 75.6%
Showing top 10 of 36
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 511ms