YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$151.2K
1,780 trades
Smart Whales
88
of 438 traders
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
10 MARKETS · $491.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
50 YESvs38 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 28% YES by dollars · 23 YES vs 14 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8.6K is directional: YES $2.4K·NO $6.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$23.2K
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.3K(+31.6%)
Whales
50
J
jbauer24🥇hedged
Entry 90¢·9,565.9 shares·also $6.7K on NO
Invested
$8.6K
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$1004
+$1004INV $8.6K · WR 55.6%
J
jdcgo🥈
Entry 79¢·5,556 shares
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$1194
+$1194INV $4.4K · WR 60.9%
C
clixon🥉hedged
Entry 68¢·6,382.1 shares·also $2.5K on NO
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$2074
+$2074INV $4.3K · WR 63.4%
A
apiwathedged
Entry 78¢·2,153.7 shares·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
93.4%
Position P&L
+$477
+$477INV $1.7K · WR 93.4%
K
keysersoze22
Entry 52¢·1,480.9 shares
Invested
$775
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$706
+$706INV $775 · WR 78.6%
M
Meaty-Pseudoscience
Entry 99¢·567.8 shares
Invested
$562
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $562 · WR 80.2%
O
OranG3cluB
Entry 53¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$530
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
+$470
+$470INV $530 · WR 64.5%
B
botparadise
Entry 92¢·470 shares
Invested
$430
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $430 · WR 89.3%
E
Eugene22
Entry 39¢·839.1 shares
Invested
$329
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
+$509
+$509INV $329 · WR 78.3%
B
beefdeghedged
Entry 34¢·446.4 shares·also $296 on NO
Invested
$150
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$296
+$296INV $150 · WR 67.0%
Showing top 10 of 50
NO Team
Total Invested
$22.2K
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$21.4K(-96.4%)
Whales
38
J
jbauer24🥇hedged
Entry 70¢·9,565.9 shares·also $8.6K on YES
Invested
$6.7K
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-6683
$-6683INV $6.7K · WR 55.6%
N
NeverYES🥈
Entry 82¢·5,306.1 shares
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-4351
$-4351INV $4.4K · WR 68.8%
F
foxi00🥉
Entry 147¢·1,788.9 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-2623
$-2623INV $2.6K · WR 61.1%
C
clixonhedged
Entry 39¢·6,382.2 shares·also $4.3K on YES
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-2508
$-2508INV $2.5K · WR 63.4%
H
horatio
Entry 71¢·1,953.5 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-1380
$-1380INV $1.4K · WR 57.7%
A
apiwathedged
Entry 52¢·2,153.7 shares·also $1.7K on YES
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
93.4%
Position P&L
$-1121
$-1121INV $1.1K · WR 93.4%
F
flaneur22
Entry 114¢·678 shares
Invested
$773
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-773
$-773INV $773 · WR 84.1%
T
tiam2
Entry 219¢·303.3 shares
Invested
$665
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-665
$-665INV $665 · WR 70.0%
B
beefdeghedged
Entry 66¢·446.4 shares·also $150 on YES
Invested
$296
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-296
$-296INV $296 · WR 67.0%
T
timsayhedged
Entry 66¢·424 shares·also $148 on YES
Invested
$282
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-282
$-282INV $282 · WR 75.0%
Showing top 10 of 38
Smart Whale Trades
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