YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$145.3K
2,416 trades
Smart Whales
214
of 1,022 traders
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
9 MARKETS · $340.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
149 YESvs65 NO
70%30%
70% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 122 YES vs 41 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+1 new YES$2+3 new NO$201
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11.4K is directional: YES $1.7K·NO $9.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$8.8K
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.2K(-70.5%)
Whales
149
S
sunburntcat🥇hedged
Entry 83¢·4,271.8 shares·also $549 on NO
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-3180
$-3180INV $3.6K · WR 56.0%
T
Tuku🥈
Entry 91¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
$-1646
$-1646INV $1.8K · WR 77.4%
K
keysersoze22🥉
Entry 13¢·9,831.5 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-353
$-353INV $1.2K · WR 78.6%
C
Cloudy-Battinghedged
Entry 89¢·332.7 shares·also $51 on NO
Invested
$295
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-265
$-265INV $295 · WR 60.8%
X
XAE12Archangelhedged
Entry 105¢·270 shares·also $44 on NO
Invested
$284
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-260
$-260INV $284 · WR 77.3%
F
flaneur22
Entry 24¢·950.3 shares
Invested
$230
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-145
$-145INV $230 · WR 84.1%
F
flipperinohedged
Entry 101¢·217.7 shares·also $28 on NO
Invested
$219
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-200
$-200INV $219 · WR 63.4%
D
Dreamwalkerhedged
Entry 6¢·667.5 shares·also $621 on NO
Invested
$37
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $37 · WR 72.7%
C
ch56
Entry 25¢·43.7 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $11 · WR 60.7%
B
broture
Entry 21¢·37.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $8 · WR 56.0%
Showing top 10 of 149
NO Team
Total Invested
$11.5K
Avg Win Rate
74.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.8K(+41.3%)
Whales
65
M
Michel de Nostredame🥇
Entry 88¢·3,500 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$117
+$117INV $3.1K · WR 72.7%
B
btcisking🥈
Entry 90¢·2,857.9 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $2.6K · WR 86.4%
G
gydmasg🥉
Entry 80¢·933 shares
Invested
$749
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
+$101
+$101INV $749 · WR 67.8%
D
Dreamwalkerhedged
Entry 93¢·667.5 shares·also $37 on YES
Invested
$621
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $621 · WR 72.7%
S
sunburntcathedged
Entry 13¢·4,271.8 shares·also $3.6K on YES
Invested
$549
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$3344
+$3344INV $549 · WR 56.0%
1
1231123123
Entry 80¢·628.6 shares
Invested
$505
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $505 · WR 84.8%
C
ChasingPaper
Entry 85¢·564.5 shares
Invested
$481
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $481 · WR 65.6%
B
BetterHold
Entry 77¢·536.7 shares
Invested
$411
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $411 · WR 68.9%
D
dsoperative
Entry 85¢·404.5 shares
Invested
$344
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $344 · WR 60.3%
A
amis
Entry 91¢·264.5 shares
Invested
$241
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $241 · WR 87.5%
Showing top 10 of 65
Smart Whale Trades
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