153 days left

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

33¢

33% implied

NO Price

67¢

67% implied

Volume

$10.5K

234 trades

Smart Whales

13

of 111 traders

How low will Lake Mead drop?

4 MARKETS · $23.5K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft

47¢−29¢$6.2K2/9

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft−29¢47¢

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft

24¢−9¢$2.2K2/11

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft−9¢24¢

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft←

33¢−16¢$10.5K2/10

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft←−16¢33¢

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation stay above 1,038 ft

4¢+13¢$4.5K2/10

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation stay above 1,038 ft+13¢4¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs11 NO

Wallets vs price

Price 33¢

YES 15%NO 85%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 33¢

Net of both-sides wallets: 57% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%

$10

$41

+1 new YES+2 new NO · 1 smart whale

Teams by

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $603 is directional: YES $343·NO $260

YES Team

Total Invested

$343

Avg Win Rate

69.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$11(+3.2%)

Whales

2

Hot-SkullHomelessBegger🥇

Entry 25¢·810.5 shares

+$39INV $200 · WR 72.1%

Hugin-og-Munin🥈

Entry 40¢·360 shares

$-28INV $143 · WR 66.8%

NO Team

Total Invested

$757

Avg Win Rate

77.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$97(+12.8%)

Whales

11

Entry 75¢·351.8 shares

$-28INV $265 · WR 87.4%

Started-with-20-USDProven🥈

Entry 46¢·563 shares

+$120INV $260 · WR 58.5%

smallreceipt🥉

Entry 72¢·235 shares

$-11INV $170 · WR 88.6%

Entry 70¢·40 shares

$-1INV $28 · WR 84.3%

Entry 80¢·11.1 shares

$-1INV $9 · WR 63.0%

Entry 40¢·20 shares

+$6INV $8 · WR 86.1%

Entry 56¢·10 shares

+$1INV $6 · WR 84.8%

Entry 39¢·10 shares

+$3INV $4 · WR 86.1%

Entry 39¢·10 shares

+$3INV $4 · WR 86.0%

Entry 40¢·6.2 shares

+$2INV $2 · WR 71.9%

Showing top 10 of 11

Smart Whale Trades

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