153 days left
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$2.2K
99 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 52 traders
How low will Lake Mead drop?
4 MARKETS · $23.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft
47¢−29¢$6.2K2/9Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft−29¢47¢
$6.2K2/9
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft←
24¢−9¢$2.2K2/11Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft←−9¢24¢
$2.2K2/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 24¢
YES 15%NO 85%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 24¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $62 is directional: YES $62·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$62
Avg Win Rate
65.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$38(+60.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$395
Avg Win Rate
86.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$23(+5.9%)
Whales
11
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 82¢·235 shares
Invested
$192
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $192 · WR 88.6%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 82¢·116.8 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $96 · WR 87.4%
G
GingerMcKenna🥉
Entry 82¢·40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $33 · WR 84.3%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 97¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $19 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 93¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $19 · WR 79.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 97¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 86.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 94¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $9 · WR 86.0%
D
0xd7e3da53...
Entry 99¢·7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 70.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 97¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 71.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 4¢·71.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $3 · WR 87.7%
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