153 days left
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?
YES Price
47¢
47% implied
NO Price
53¢
53% implied
Volume
$6.2K
130 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 72 traders
How low will Lake Mead drop?
4 MARKETS · $23.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft←
47¢−29¢$6.2K2/9Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft←−29¢47¢
$6.2K2/9
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft
24¢−9¢$2.2K2/11Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft−9¢24¢
$2.2K2/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 47¢
YES 18%NO 82%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 47¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 59% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $613 is directional: YES $361·NO $252YES Team
Total Invested
$361
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$253(+70.2%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$419
Avg Win Rate
67.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$71(-17.0%)
Whales
9
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven🥇
Entry 58¢·424.5 shares
Invested
$248
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $248 · WR 58.5%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 67¢·129.1 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $87 · WR 79.2%
G
GingerMcKenna🥉
Entry 68¢·40 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $27 · WR 84.3%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 98¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $20 · WR 86.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 98¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $20 · WR 87.5%
K
korda77
Entry 73¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 84.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 98¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $6 · WR 71.9%
J
JoeDirtBuffett
Entry 71¢·5.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 58.5%
D
0xd7e3da53...
Entry 3¢·7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $0 · WR 70.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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